Vegas over/unders were released for the upcoming 2019 season

If you are a fellow degenerate gambler, then you received an email Friday morning about Las Vegas releasing the future win totals for every NFL team for the 2019 season. The 49ers current win total is at 8.

It’s worth noting that the -115 means the 49ers are slight favorites to go under 8 wins. If you bet $115 on the under, you will win $100. You have to bet $115 on the over to get $100. So Vegas think there’s a better chance the team goes under.

Something to keep an eye on after the draft is how these odds change. For now, I’ll make an argument for the team going both under and over 8 wins.

Why over

Health. Jimmy Garoppolo plays a full season to his potential. George Kittle somehow gets better. Dante Pettis takes the next step, and the stable of running backs are too much for defenses to handle. The 2019 rookie class gets three starters that are able to positively contribute right away. One being a receiver that makes a difference in the red zone.

On defense, the complete makeover of the front four leads to turnovers and short fields for the offense. Dee Ford is as good as the team thinks, and Nick Bosa has a superb rookie year. Or the possible trade back leads to getting two impact players on defense. The defense isn’t lights out but they are streaky and get timely stops. With a “last place schedule”, the 49ers are able to fight for a playoff berth.

Why under

While the pass-rush improves, the secondary doesn’t take a step forward. The growing pains continue opposite of Richard Sherman. The injury bug bites the secondary again and players are forced to play that shouldn’t be playing. The linebackers are exposed in coverage and the defense can’t get off the field.

Offensively, gunslinger Jimmy makes more mistakes than you’d like in a full season. Whatever rookie receiver the team drafts struggles, and the offense can’t seem to find their groove all year. All of this stems from the offensive line taking a step back and that’s a big reason for the down year on offense.

Best case draft scenario, do the 49ers reach 9 wins next year?