The betting odds changed slightly after the NFL Draft
The point of doing the odds for the San Francisco 49ers before the draft was to see how those odds would change after the draft. The question I had was would the 49ers select a group of players that would affect their odds drastically enough to change the teams predicted win total of 8.
Prior to the draft the Niners odds were -115 to win under 8 games. That means they were slight favorites to win fewer than 8 games. By placing a $115 bet, you’d win $100 if the 49ers won anything under 8 games.
Now that the draft is over, Vegas actually improved the odds for the 49ers to win more than 8 games. The teams odds are listed at -120 to win more than 8 games. Now if you were to bet $100 on the team winning fewer than 8 games, you would get your money back. On the other hand, you would now have to bet $120 on the 49ers to win more than 8 games in order to win $100.
It might not seem like much, but that’s some noteworthy line movement right there. To me it reads “Nick Bosa is really good, and Deebo Samuel will make an immediate impact.” This could also be a reflection on what the other NFC teams did in the draft. This could also be assuming health, and a few other factors that are bound to improve for the 49ers in 2019. The odds of getting single-digit turnovers all year are slim to none. With a healthy starting quarterback, your red zone numbers will naturally comeback to the pack as well. The real question becomes if the team does get to 9 wins, will that be enough to sneak into the playoffs?
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